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Top Marginal REVOLUTION News

A possible health surveillance breakthrough - Marginal REVOLUTION

A possible health surveillance breakthrough - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
Yale researchers have found that testing for the presence of a single immune system molecule on nasal swabs can help detect stealthy viruses not identified in standard tests, they report Jan. 1 in the journal Lancet Microbe. “Finding a dangerous new virus is like searching for a needle in a haystack,” said Ellen Foxman, associate professor of […]See the Story
Is it Possible to Prepare for a Pandemic? - Marginal REVOLUTION
Pandemic

Is it Possible to Prepare for a Pandemic? - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
In a new paper, Robert Tucker Omberg and I ask whether being prepared for a pandemic ameliorated or shortened the pandemic. We also look at whether values or attitudinal factors such as individualism, willingness to sacrifice, or trust in government might be considered a form of cultural pandemic preparedness. Our primary finding is that almost no form of pandemic preparation helped to amaliorate or shorten the Pandemic. General state capacity is one of the few factors which appears to improve pandemic performance.See the Story
The Extreme Shortage of High IQ Workers - Marginal REVOLUTION

The Extreme Shortage of High IQ Workers - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
At first glance it seems peculiar that semiconductors, a key item of national strategic interest, should be produced in only a few places in the world, most notably Taiwan, using devices produced only in Eindhoven in the Netherlands by one firm, ASML. Isn’t the United States big enough to be able to support all of […]See the Story

Latest News Stories

Lead and violence: all the evidence - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
Kevin Drum offers a response to a recent meta-study on the link between lead and violence, blogged by me here. I’ll take this moment to explain why the lead-violence connection never has sat that well with me. Let’s say we are trying to explain why 2022 America is richer than the Stone Age.  We could […]See the Story

What are the politics of ChatGPT? - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
David Rozado applied the Political Compass Test and concluded that ChatGPT is a mix of left-leaning and libertarian. Marc Andreessen has had a number of tweets suggesting that AI engines will host the mother of all battles over content, censorship, bias and so on. The level of censorship pressure that’s coming for AI will define the next century of civilization.See the Story
Diplomacy

AI Conquers Diplomacy - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
Diplomacy is a 7-player game in which players must persuade, cajole, coordinate, strategize, bluff and lie to one another in order to take over the world. For the first time, an AI has achieved success in Diplomacy: CICERO achieved more than double the average score of the other players and ranked in the top 10% of players!See the Story

Is America suffering a ‘social recession’? - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
Anton Cebalo documents a decline in sex, friends and trust. He says more and more we are treating young adults like children. The trend became obvious starting in the 2010s, he says. The Decline in Adult Activities Among U.S. Adolescents, 1976-2016 is published by Simon & Schuster.See the Story
Business

The return of economic orthodoxy - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
That is the theme of my latest Bloomberg column, here is one excerpt: This year has turned out to be a very good one for classical and traditional approaches to economics. Exotic doctrines have performed poorly, while standard predictions — based on common sense and straightforward mechanisms of operation — have done well. Start with […]See the Story

On publication bias in economics, from the comments - Marginal REVOLUTION

100% Right coverage: 1 sources
I’m not surprised by this finding. Economics has a much higher bar for identification and often relies on observational data, so there are always going to be many possible problems with an empirical exercise that could be used as justification to turn down a paper. In this environment it becomes extremely important to have stars […]See the Story
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