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Winter to wait on the sidelines as El Nino extends fall: The Weather Network outlook
The outlook says El Nino will keep temperatures milder and delay consistent winter weather, with several regions also expected to be drier than normal.
The Weather Network forecasts a mild fall across Canada as a potentially historic El Nino delays winter's arrival, with senior meteorologist Doug Gillham noting "Winter is probably going to wait on the sidelines for a while."
El Nino shifts the storm track south, filling Canada with milder Pacific air while limiting cold Arctic air, according to Gillham; this climate phenomenon is the primary driver behind the extended fall conditions.
While Gillham holds hope for ski seasons in British Columbia and Alberta, he remains less optimistic for Central Canada, stating "We do not expect consistent cold or early winter weather as we wrap up the fall season."
Despite fewer storms forecast, Gillham warns against complacency, saying "Fewer storms doesn't mean that the storms that occur won't pack a punch" regarding Atlantic Canada hurricane risks.
Average fall temperatures are now about 2.4 degrees warmer across Canada compared to the mid-20th century. While El Nino influences the coming months, long-term climate change continues driving rising temperatures and extreme weather risks.