Analysis-Trump’s Push to End Ukraine War Raises Fears of ‘Ugly Deal’ for Europe
European governments worry a U.S.-Russia peace deal may concede Ukrainian territory and NATO assurances, sidelining Europe despite its €180 billion aid contribution, analysts say.
- On Dec. 2, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow to present a revised peace plan amid intensified U.S. efforts to end the war.
- A revised plan drafted in Geneva and Florida last month remains unpublished, and some experts say it may have been designed to be rejected to portray Kyiv as unreasonable.
- The Institute for the Study of War projects continued Russian advances, noting Russia captured approximately 267 square kilometers in October, while analysts warn Russia now controls most of Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast.
- Kyiv is unwilling to bend on its red lines, rejecting recognition of occupation and limits on alliances, opposing the U.S. 28-point proposal that accepts Russian control over Crimea and Donbas and caps Ukraine's military.
- Without stronger pressure, Moscow appears content to wait as it sustains gradual gains; the Kremlin believes it can achieve objectives by waiting, and the U.S. has targeted only India with a symbolic 25% tariff.
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22 Articles
Ukraine War Peace: What is the “Ugly Deal” Europe Is Worried About?
As Washington pushes ahead with its latest – and most ambitious – attempt at a deal for peace in Ukraine, European governments are growing increasingly anxious about the shape of the peace that may emerge. Reports in recent days have described growing concerns about how little power Europe may have to stop whatever deal U.S. President Donald Trump may have planned, with some officials describing the same growing dread about a so-called “ugly dea…
Analysis-Trump's Push to End Ukraine War Raises Fears of 'Ugly Deal ...
Trump's Push To End Ukraine War Raises Fears Of 'Ugly Deal' For Europe
Europe may well even have to accept a growing economic partnership between Washington, its traditional protector in the NATO alliance, and Moscow, which most European governments - and NATO itself - say is the greatest threat to European security.
Trump's main driving force as a peace broker in the Ukraine war is to do business in the Arctic and Russia, according to a review by the Wall Street Journal. According to US expert Jan Hallenberg, this is worrying. "It sends the message that if you are friendly enough to the US, you can do as you please," he says.
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