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Experts Warn Canada Faces Warmer, Drier 2026 Wildfire Season
Experts cite drought, hotter forecasts and El Niño as Canada enters its third straight severe fire year, with 2023 burning about 150,000 square kilometres.
Canada faces potential wildfire risks this summer despite a relatively quiet spring, as experts warn that lingering drought in British Columbia and the Northwest Territories could trigger another severe season.
Thompson Rivers University wildfire expert Mike Flannigan calls this year a "litmus test" for whether Canada's wildfire seasons, fueled by human-caused climate change, have entered a "new reality."
Natural Resources Canada wildfire research analyst Richard Carr noted that "we're not really seeing too many signs of unusual activity through April," though drought-stricken New Brunswick and Hudson Bay areas face heightened risks.
Alberta Wildfire information officer Derrick Forsythe urged public vigilance, stating "This is a volatile time of year for us, because there is so much potential fuel out there" as temperatures rise.
A recent Health Canada review estimated smoke exposure from 2023 wildfires could contribute to 5,400 chronic premature deaths, demonstrating the severe health risks of increasingly intense fire seasons.
According to experts, the forest fire season could start relatively calmly in Canada, but persistent drought and a hot summer could tilt the balance towards a particularly difficult new year.