In Flare-up over Hormuz, a Hint at US-Iran Roller Coaster to Come
The two sides traded strikes after Iran said Article 5 lets it manage safe passage for commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
- On Sunday, the United States and Iran pulled back from escalating attacks over the Strait of Hormuz, though both sides continue accusing the other of violating Article 5 of their June 17 Memorandum of Understanding.
- The flare-up tested the fragile June 17 MoU, which requires Iran to "make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge" for 60 days amid ongoing negotiations.
- Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz plummeted following the weekend exchanges, with Kpler data showing only 38 commodity ships transited Saturday and 22 on Sunday, while around 500 vessels remain waiting.
- During a visit to Baghdad, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated shipping would return to prewar capacity within 30 days, warning that alternative arrangements would "only lead to more complicated situations and delays."
- Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa Program at Chatham House, warns the situation remains "very bumpy" as Iran views the strait as leverage, while Trump threatens the U.S. could be "forced to militarily complete the job.
12 Articles
12 Articles
In flare-up over Hormuz, a hint at US-Iran roller coaster to come
If the core U.S.-Iran dispute has long been Tehran’s nuclear program, the tit-for-tat strikes in the Strait of Hormuz make clear that control of the waterway is of immediate concern to both. Neither wants a resumption of full-scale war, yet threats are flying.
Hormuz shipping slows after US-Iran exchange of fire
Data has shown a dramatic reduction in commodity vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend following an exchange of fire between the US and Iran, in violation of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed by the two countries earlier this month. According to maritime data provider Kpler, only 38 commodity ships passed through the strait on Saturday and 22 on Sunday, reflecting growing caution among ship operators using the strat…
What's Article 5 Of Iran-US Deal That's Being Blamed For Hormuz Unrest?
While both Tehran and Washington fundamentally support reopening the Strait of Hormuz, experts pointed out that the two sides interpret the terms of the MoU differently and disagree over how vessels should move through the waterway during the interim period.
Article 5 explained: The US-Iran MoU clause which caused latest flare-up in Hormuz
The United States and Iran will meet in Doha after pausing fresh strikes over attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. Their truce now hinges on rival readings of Article 5 and control of commercial shipping.
What is Article 5 of the US-Iran interim agreement? How the Strait of Hormuz clause triggered fresh US-Iran strikes
While Washington views freedom of navigation as requiring internationally coordinated shipping routes, Tehran insists the agreement preserves its authority over transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

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