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US Manufacturing Activity Drops to Lowest Point of 2025: PMI

The ISM manufacturing PMI contracted for the 10th consecutive month, with 85% of manufacturing GDP shrinking and tariffs cited as a key factor in rising costs and reduced demand.

  • On Monday, the Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.9 in December, down from 48.2 and marking the 10th straight month below 50.
  • Respondents cited tariffs as the key driver, noting Yale Budget Lab estimated duties rose to nearly 17% from under 3%, while the U.S. Supreme Court will rule on their legality in early 2026.
  • Across sectors, ISM found that only two industries grew while 15 contracted, and last month 85% of manufacturing GDP contracted, rising from 58%.
  • Companies reported both higher costs and weaker orders, noting ISM's new orders sub-index fell to 47.7 for the fourth month, while ISM prices paid index stayed at 58.5 with elevated input costs.
  • Economists polled by Reuters expressed cautious hope that tax cuts could help this year, but Susan Spence warned, `But several consecutive months of gains in these indicators are necessary for a longer-term recovery,' and transportation equipment makers expect a weak first half of 2026.
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Merca2.es broke the news in on Monday, January 5, 2026.
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