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US intelligence warns Iran unlikely to ease Hormuz Strait chokehold soon: Reuters

Tehran is expected to keep pressure on the waterway as 21 miles of shipping lane carry a fifth of global oil trade, U.S. officials said.

  • Recent intelligence from the United States warns Iran is unlikely to open the Strait of Hormuz soon, as Tehran views its grip on the waterway as primary leverage over the United States.
  • Since the war began on February 28, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has blocked the Strait using mines and attacks on civilian vessels, sending world oil prices to multi-year highs.
  • Ali Vaez, director of the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group, stated the United States inadvertently handed Iran a "weapon of mass disruption," with Tehran's chokehold "much more potent than even a nuclear weapon."
  • A White House official said President Donald Trump is "confident that the strait will be open very soon," though Trump posted on Truth Social he could "easily OPEN THE HORMUZ STRAIT, TAKE THE OIL, & MAKE A FORTUNE.
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U.S. Intelligence Says Strait of Hormuz Won't Open Easily, Possibility of Prolonged Blockade It is reported that U.S. intelligence officials believe there is little likelihood that Iran will lift the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in the near future. As control over the strait, a major global oil shipping route, is effectively a key pressure tactic Iran can utilize against the United States.

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Al-Monitor broke the news in Washington, United States on Friday, April 3, 2026.
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