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Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula: Brazil’s Undecided and Abstaining Voters May Determine the Election – WTOP News

More than 33 million voters stayed home in the first round, and polls show about 11% were undecided before the runoff, Datafolha said.

  • Neither Lula nor Jair Bolsonaro secured more than 50% during Sunday's first round, forcing a runoff scheduled for Oct. 25. Both candidates now compete for millions of undecided voters and those who abstained or cast blank ballots.
  • High polarization and economic frustration defined the first round, as more than 33 million citizens—21% of the electorate—abstained. Many voters in Brazil feel alienated by both political forces, leading nearly 6 million to cast blank or spoiled votes.
  • Bolsonaro gained an advantage securing the endorsement of Ronaldo Caiado, who garnered around 2.6 million votes on Tuesday. Voters remain divided, citing rising costs like gasoline, which surged to 6.54 reais in September 2026.
  • Campaigners are hyperfocused on winning over undecided voters like 19-year-old Ana Beatriz Bon Raggio and 21-year-old Alexandre Moreira. Both citizens remain conflicted as they weigh the candidates' positions against economic hardship and polarization.
  • Brazil's electoral court president Kassio Nunes Marques said the 20% abstention rate is "not ideal," vowing to intensify mechanisms to boost turnout before Oct. 25. The final result remains uncertain as voters weigh economic woes against political polarization.
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Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula: Brazil’s undecided and abstaining voters may determine the election

Brazilian President Lula da Silva and Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro are both focused on persuading the undecided voters ahead of the Oct. 25 presidential election

·New York, United States
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The percentage of abstention is the highest since 1998 for a first round. The lack of participation in the first round has been slowly increasing since 2006, according to data from the Brazilian electoral court. Not voting in the country carries a small fine, since participation is mandatory for literate citizens aged 18 to 70.

·Mexico
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fmmundo.com broke the news on Wednesday, October 7, 2026.
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