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UN projections say world is losing ground in fight to curb climate change, faulting US a bit

The U.N. says current pledges still leave the planet on course for 2.6 C to 2.8 C of warming by 2100.

  • A United Nations report published on Wednesday projected global warming of around 2.8°C by 2100 under current policies, stressing that The Paris Agreement goals are all but out of reach absent an urgent economic and political pivot.
  • Current climate action remains insufficient to meet established goals, as emissions rose in the United States—the world's second-largest emitter—more than any other country in the past year.
  • To limit peak warming and return to 1.5°C by 2100, global emissions must decline 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040, while China remains the world's largest annual emitter at 16.1 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent.
  • Eurasia Group analyst María José Valverde wrote this week that climate negotiations are "increasingly unproductive," with COP summits becoming "progressively irrelevant" as nations replace multilateral talks with bilateral deals.
  • Advancements in attribution science clarify how burning fossil fuels increases extreme weather risks, while past emissions from carbon majors will continue trapping heat for millennia, intensifying long-term climate impacts.
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National commitments would lead to a 6% reduction in global emissions by 2035 compared to 2019. A very insufficient decline to contain warming within the limits of the agreement, reveals a UN report.

·Paris, France
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EADaily, October 23, 2026 The Earth is moving towards the end of the century becoming 2.8 degrees warmer on the planet than in the pre-industrial period, as described in the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).

Left

Global warming will exceed 1.5 °C, warns the UN. UNEP points out the emission cuts needed to limit the magnitude of that excess.

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CO2 Coalition broke the news on Monday, October 19, 2026.
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