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Trump's new tariffs target about 5 per cent of Canada's exports to U.S.: economists

The duties cover about 5% of Canada’s exports to the United States, economists said, and exclude USMCA exemptions.

  • On Monday, President Donald Trump signed executive orders imposing 50% tariffs on a range of Canadian goods, including wine and cement, effective Aug. 19 with no USMCA exemptions.
  • The White House justified the tariffs by citing Canada's supply-managed dairy industry, provincial bans on U.S. alcohol, and auto quotas as discriminatory treatment warranting retaliation.
  • BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic estimates roughly $28-billion in annual Canadian exports to the United States face new tariffs, though oil, gas, and fish remain excluded.
  • The United States opted not to renew the USMCA earlier this month, triggering a decade-long period of annual reviews that will reshape North American trade dynamics.
  • Diplomatic friction remains elevated with few signs of progress; President Trump also complained about Canadian forest fire smoke to Prime Minister Mark Carney at Sunday's World Cup final in New Jersey.
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Lean Right

Why is the combination of tariff penalties and blockades in the Middle East explosive? This convergence between geopolitical tensions and a more aggressive trade policy acts as an inflationary "double blow." Fuel pricing is the fastest way for consumers to feel pressure.

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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InforumInforum
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

Port: How much should North Dakotans fear Trump's renewed trade war with Canada?

As the end of the Trump era draws near, how much do the president's threats still matter?

·Fargo, United States
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Center

Economists consider this threat of tariffs to be a sectoral issue, not a generalized one for the economy.

·Montreal, Canada
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The Globe & Mail broke the news in Toronto, Canada on Monday, July 20, 2026.
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