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Cook Political Report Moves Texas, Iowa Senate Races to Toss-Ups

Cook cited close polls, fundraising gaps and Paxton’s scandals as it moved the Texas Senate race into the toss-up column.

  • On Thursday, The Cook Political Report shifted U.S. Senate races in Texas and Iowa to 'toss-up' status, signaling unexpected competitiveness in traditionally Republican strongholds.
  • Iowa's agricultural economy faces mounting pressure from rising diesel and fertilizer costs alongside tariffs, creating a challenging political environment for Republican candidates this year.
  • U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson faces Democratic challenger Josh Turek in Iowa's Senate race, while state Auditor Rob Sand leads Republican Zach Lahn in the governor's contest, now rated lean Democrat.
  • State Rep. James Talarico has outpaced Attorney General Ken Paxton in Texas' Senate race, demonstrating strong fundraising and voter resonance that prompted Cook's toss-up designation.
  • Control of the U.S. Senate remains extremely tight, with Democrats needing to flip at least four seats to secure majority status, making these Republican-leaning state races pivotal.
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, August 20, 2026.
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