'Super' El Niño could cause 451,000 excess deaths, researchers say
The report says 44% more extremely hot days could drive the toll, with the Global South facing the heaviest burden.
- On Wednesday, the Chicago-based Climate Impact Lab released a report warning that El Niño could cause 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027.
- Amplified by human-caused climate change, this El Niño event could raise global land temperatures by about 1.2 Celsius , producing 44% more extremely hot days than typical.
- The Global South faces the heaviest burden, with the Sahel region in Africa expected to see 66,800 deaths, while researchers project 19,400 across Southeast Asia, 15,800 in India, and 13,300 in Brazil.
- Governments can mitigate risks through heat-warning systems and cooling centers, which authors say provide an opportunity "to see exactly where emergency actions can be taken now to save tens of thousands of lives."
- Implementation of well-thought-out plans remains challenging, said Abhiyant Tiwari, a heat expert at NRDC India, who added, "The real measure of our preparedness is not how many heat warnings we issue, but how effectively we protect people and reduce preventable deaths.
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119 Articles
Researchers from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Laboratory warned today, Wednesday, that the hypertemperature is the result.
The ongoing El Niño weather phenomenon could persist into February and have deadly consequences. A new report estimates that more than 450,000 people could die as a result of the increased heat over the next six months, The Guardian reports.
The climate phenomenon El Niño additionally heats up the planet. For hundreds of thousands, temperatures are likely to end fatally. A map shows which regions will be particularly affected.
Scientists' report estimates 451 thousand extra heat deaths between September and February 2027 and points to countries most affected, such as Nigeria, India and Brazil.
One study warns of the impact of the phenomenon around the world while the zero zone, the tropical Pacific, continues to warm at full speed
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