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Trump Downplays Prediction Markets as His Family Invests

Prosecutors said a U.S. soldier’s bets on Venezuelan events were based on nonpublic information, intensifying calls for tighter oversight of prediction markets.

  • On Thursday, President Donald Trump described the world as "somewhat of a casino" while responding to The Justice Department indictment of Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke, who allegedly used classified information to trade on Polymarket.
  • Prosecutors allege Van Dyke misappropriated classified information about a U.S. military operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, to generate more than $400,000 in illegal profits.
  • Comparing the case to Pete Rose betting on his own team, Trump told reporters he was "never much in favor" of prediction markets, despite previously telling The Washington Post they outperformed "fake polls."
  • Polymarket posted Thursday that it identified the classified-information trader, referred the matter to The Justice Department, and stated that "insider trading has no place on Polymarket."
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Michael Selig defends prediction platforms as financial markets, while Trump remains tied to the industry through his son's investment in Kalshi, raising potential conflicts.
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decrypt.co broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, April 24, 2026.
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