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A Broker, Accountant and Economist Walk Into a Housing Crash — and Walk Out Wiser
Affordability is worsening as mortgage delinquencies climb and homebuilders report weaker sales, raising the risk that housing stress will spill into the broader economy.
Daniel Jones reports a severe U.S. housing affordability crisis, with median home prices far outpacing household incomes despite recent price declines.
Consumer financial stress is rising, with delinquency rates for mortgages and other debt increasing, signaling broader economic vulnerability and risk to aggregate home equity.
Homebuilder fundamentals are deteriorating as backlogs and deliveries decline, with firms reporting falling average sales prices. Meanwhile, 60% of Americans believe the U.S. will enter a recession in the next year, per NerdWallet's Consumer Financial Resilience Index.
Retired CPA Cosmo P. DeStefano warns that economic crashes occur every 10 to 15 years. While conditions differ from 2008, similar weather patterns suggest heightened risk.
Kevin Watson of Churchill Mortgage suggests that investors focus on time in the market rather than attempting to time their entry or exit. Patience often proves more valuable than equity during downturns.