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Thai rice exports may fall as much as 12.5% in 2026 as baht bites

Summary by Bangkok Post
Thailand's rice exports are projected to fall to 7 million metric tonnes next year from up to 8 million in 2025, with the strong baht making it harder to compete with the plentiful ‌supplies of India, the commerce ministry said on Friday.

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Rice exports in the first 11 months totaled 7.29 million tons. The full-year target of 7.88 million tons is expected to be exceeded, with a possibility of reaching 8 million tons. However, the target for 2026 is only 7 million tons due to high competition, India clearing its stock, slowing imports by trading partners, and the strong baht.

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The Nation Thailand broke the news in Bangkok, Thailand on Friday, December 26, 2025.
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