Texas Poll: Talarico Maintains Small Lead Over Paxton

New Texas Senate poll shows Republicans gaining as early voting nears

Talarico Maintains Lead in Texas Senate Race

A new Siena College/ReconMR poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 48% to 44%. Texas Senate Race James Talarico (D) 48%   Ken Paxton (R) 44%   Siena College/ReconMR poll · likely voters · ±4.4% The same poll in Texas finds Greg Abbott (R) leading Gina […]

Texas Poll: Talarico Maintains Small Lead Over Paxton

View online: https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/TXP004-October-Press-Release.pdf US Senate: Talarico 48% Paxton 44% (from 49-43% in September) Governor: Abbott 48% Hinojosa 47% (from Hinojosa 49-45% in September) Congressional Generic Ballot: Dem 47% Rep 46% (from 46-47% in Sept) Texans Oppose How ICE Agents Arrest People, 54-42% 56% of Voters Say Tactics Used by ICE ‘Have Gone Too Far’ State…

Talarico leads Paxton in Texas Senate race; Abbott faces tight governor contest

Talarico leads Paxton in the Texas Senate race, while Abbott's lead over Hinojosa is tight. Democrats winning the Texas governor race in 2026 at 19% YES.