Russia Captured More Territory Than Ukraine Reclaimed in July, DeepState Reports
DeepState said Russian forces advanced 36 square kilometers in July, while delayed reporting could lift the monthly increase to 88 square kilometers.
- On Sunday, the OSINT project DeepState reported Russian forces captured 36 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in July, an expansion representing roughly 60% of Manhattan and covering the entire front.
- Moscow shifted toward deploying small groups and lone soldiers through Ukrainian lines under dense drone cover, though these new tactics have produced few territorial gains compared to earlier mass infantry attacks.
- Russian forces suffered their worst month for casualties in 2026, with Ukraine's General Staff estimating 42,860 troops killed or wounded in July, averaging roughly 1,380 per day; these figures cannot be independently verified.
- Russia made only limited progress near Rodynske and Kostiantynivka toward Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, the heart of Ukraine's 'fortress belt,' with DeepState noting two more years would be required to capture remaining Donetsk Oblast territory.
- DeepState stated, 'At its current pace, Russia has no chance of capturing all of Donetsk Oblast, even in 2027,' despite The Kremlin maintaining demands for Ukraine to surrender the entire Donbas, a goal Putin reportedly sought by year-end 2026 before Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov denied such a deadline.
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DeepState: At current pace, Russia won’t capture all of Donetsk Oblast even by 2027
The area under Russian control across Ukraine grew by only 36 square kilometers, which is roughly 60% of Manhattan, in July 2026, according to the Ukrainian battlefield monitoring group DeepState. DeepState recorded the meager increase as Moscow shifts toward sending small groups and lone soldiers through Ukrainian lines under drone cover. The new tactics have produced few territorial gains. Russia’s stalled Donetsk advance loses pace DeepState…
In July, approximately 8,000 such operations were recorded, an average of 258 per day. More Attacks, Small Gains: The number of assaults increased by approximately 11 percent compared to June and by 60 percent compared to winter and early spring. Despite the increasing intensity of fighting, Russian advances remain limited. In July, Russian troops expanded the territory they controlled by 88 square kilometers, and by 57 square kilometers the mon…
In July, Russian troops occupied more territory than the Ukrainian Defense Forces were able to return. According to an updated analysis of the combat map, the total increase in territories under the control of Russian troops in July is 36 square kilometers. This was reported by analysts of the DeepState platform. At the same time, some of the successes of the Defense Forces, which were achieved earlier, are being published with a delay due to se…
Russia Captured More Ground Than Ukraine Reclaimed in July, Trackers Say
Russian forces captured more Ukrainian territory than Ukraine’s Defense Forces reclaimed in July, according to the Ukrainian open-source intelligence group DeepState. DeepState’s map data showed Russian forces advanced by 36 square kilometers (14 square miles) during the month. However, the group said the actual increase in occupied territory could reach 88 square kilometers (34 square miles) because of delays in reporting territorial changes. “…
This was reported by the military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Alexander Kovalenko in the project “Now the main thing” on Espreso. According to him, according to DeepState, in July Russian troops increased the area of the occupied territory by about 36 square kilometers. By comparison, in July 2025, the invaders captured about 560 square kilometers, and during the spring-summer offensive campaign of that year advanced b…
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