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Spain Conservatives Lead Poll by 2.3 Points

Prediction markets and a new poll both favor Feijóo, even as the PP’s lead over the Socialists remains narrow.

  • Latest polls show the conservative Popular Party leading the governing Socialist Party ahead of the November 29 election, following the fatal train collision near Urda.
  • The October 28 high-speed train collision near Urda, which killed 69 people, halted the PSOE's momentum and intensified criticism of Spain's rail infrastructure investment.
  • Sigma Dos's November 1 survey shows the PSOE falling to 24.6%, the first time this parliament it has dropped below 25%, while the PP rose to 31.1%.
  • Projections indicate the PP and conservative party Vox could secure at least 196 seats, comfortably exceeding the 176 required for an absolute majority in the 350-seat Congress of Deputies.
  • Political friction persists as the November 29 election nears; parties disagree on debate formats, and Frente Amplio leader Ada Colau has called for Transport Minister Oscar Puente to resign "as soon as possible.
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29 Articles

Lean Right

Socialists retreat after the tragedy that killed 69 people. Prime Minister says the priority is to regain confidence in high speed. Feijóo accuses him of being focused on narrative.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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Center

The Sigma Dos survey for El Mundo assigns 31.1% to the people and 19.3% to Vox: together they would get about 196 seats, against the 176 necessary to govern. The socialists lose one and a half points in a week

·Rome, Italy
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Lean Right

The first polls after the railway tragedy of Urda plunge socialists. PP and Vox make up an absolute majority as the left bloc collapses.

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Left

Ten seats and a rigor. One month after the Spanish elections, the formula began to bounce back in the comments of analysts close to the socialists of Pedro Sánchez. The original signature is by The War Room, electoral analysis blog, and the sense is simple: the game is not closed, the distance between the coalitions is [...] The article Elections Spain, Sánchez points to the reeltone and hopes in the turnout. But for polls the left is still behi…

·Rome, Italy
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Bias Distribution

  • 55% of the sources lean Right
55% Right

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Infobae broke the news in Buenos Aires, Argentina on Saturday, October 31, 2026.
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