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Holyrood Election 2026: Election Eve Poll Projects SNP to Fall Short on a Majority

YouGov’s latest projection puts the SNP on 62 seats and says an outright majority now has only an 11% chance.

Summary by The Scotsman
The poll predicts Reform UK will come second, a senior SNP government minister in peril, and the Scottish Conservative leader failing to win a seat.

2 Articles

The Herald ScotlandThe Herald Scotland
Lean Left

SNP set to fall short of majority amid tactical voting, final YouGov poll finds

The SNP is set to be denied a majority by tactical voting in key seats in Thursday’s Holyrood election, a final projection by YouGov has found.

·Scotland, United Kingdom
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The ScotsmanThe Scotsman
Center

Holyrood election 2026: Election eve poll projects SNP to fall short on a majority

The poll predicts Reform UK will come second, a senior SNP government minister in peril, and the Scottish Conservative leader failing to win a seat.

·Scotland, United Kingdom
Read Full Article
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  • 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources are Center
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The Scotsman broke the news in Scotland, United Kingdom on Wednesday, May 6, 2026.
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