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SNAP Winners and Losers: Which States Are Facing Possible Funding Cuts?
A federal law could shift 5% to 15% of SNAP benefit costs to states, and the Congressional Budget Office says about 300,000 people could lose aid.
- Only nine states—Idaho, Iowa, Kentucky, Nebraska, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Wisconsin and Wyoming—have met the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program error-rate target of under 6%, while 41 states remain above the threshold.
- Federal law passed last year ties SNAP funding to administrative accuracy, forcing states with error rates exceeding 6% to shoulder 5% to 15% of benefit costs depending on severity.
- Alaska has the highest error rate in the country at 23%, while Missouri faces potential costs of $150 million starting in October 2027 if its 8.7% error rate does not improve.
- The Congressional Budget Office estimates these cost shifts may lead states to reduce or eliminate SNAP benefits for about 300,000 people, with child nutrition subsidies potentially decreasing for about 96,000 children.
- SNAP enrollment has already dropped more than 13% since the 2025 passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill," falling from 42.2 million in May 2025 to 36.6 million in May.
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