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Singapore Upgrades 2025 GDP Growth Forecast to Around 4% After Third Quarter Beats Estimates

The upgrade follows a 4.2% GDP growth in Q3 driven by manufacturing, wholesale trade, and finance, supported by strong demand for AI-related semiconductors and easing trade tensions.

  • On Friday, the Ministry of Trade and Industry upgraded Singapore's 2025 GDP forecast to around 4% after third-quarter GDP rose 4.2% year-on-year, beating the 2.9% advance estimate.
  • MTI said global demand and easing global trade tensions supported exports, while sustained demand for AI-related electronics should continue to support manufacturing and wholesale trade through 2025.
  • Manufacturing expanded 5% year-on-year in Q3, while electronics manufacturing grew 6.1% with PCs, integrated circuits and disk drives among key contributors.
  • Some market commentators warned of cautious policymaking, with analysts saying policymakers remain wary of next year's outlook, and She added: `We expect MAS to stay in pause mode at the January monetary policy review amid resilient growth and stable core inflation`.
  • MTI warned the outlook for 2026 remains clouded, expecting growth between 1% and 3% amid risks from tariff actions and sectoral levies, including a 100% tariff on branded drugs put on hold.
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El Economista broke the news in on Thursday, November 20, 2025.
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