Russia's Urals Discount Widens to Deepest Since April 2023 as Gulf Crude Returns
- Discounts on Russian Urals crude widened to levels last seen in April 2023 as Persian Gulf oil supplies returned through the Strait of Hormuz, Kommersant reported Friday.
- Indian refiners pivoted to Persian Gulf crude in October as freight costs priced out Russian barrels, with imports from Russia falling 67% month-over-month, according to S&P Global Commodities at Sea.
- In the week ending November 6, Urals traded $31 a barrel below Dated Brent at Baltic ports and $33 a barrel below it at Novorossiysk, widening by up to $2.95 a barrel.
- Global oil supply reached 105.4 million barrels a day in October, the International Energy Agency noted, as rebounding Gulf shipments pushed markets into surplus for the first time since the Middle East conflict began.
- Finance Minister Anton Siluanov told the Duma on October 29 that the 2027 budget assumes a Urals price of $50 a barrel, down from the previous $59 a barrel forecast.
22 Articles
22 Articles
The oil markets have been in a state of emergency since the outbreak of the Iran War. Now, according to the IEA, global supply is again exceeding demand for the first time.
Global oil supply will exceed demand in the final quarter of this year after increased exports from Gulf states in October left the market in surplus for the first time since the Iran war, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. "The oil market is showing early signs of rebalancing," the agency said.
Russian Oil Discounts Hit 3-Year High as Middle East Supplies Recover
Russia’s flagship Urals crude was offered at its steepest discounts to Brent in more than three years in early November as Middle Eastern supplies recovered and India cut purchases of Russian oil.
After months, the International Energy Agency sees for the first time a move towards more stable oil markets. However, the recovery is not the same in all areas.
The International Energy Agency expects global oil supply to increase by approximately 6.5 million barrels per day in 2027, while demand will increase by 2 million barrels per day. According to the agency, attacks on energy infrastructure and maritime transport in the Middle East keep the expectation of a supply recovery fragile.
Oil markets swing toward surplus as Gulf exports rebound despite Iran war
Global oil supplies have overtaken demand for the first time since the start of the Iran war, as Persian Gulf exports recover faster than consumption, Bloomberg reports, citing the International Energy Agency.Gulf oil exports have climbed to 74%...
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