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Risk-Based Breast Cancer Screening Outperforms Annual Mammograms, Clinical Trial Finds

Risk-based screening tailored by genetics, lifestyle, and breast density reduced advanced cancers to 30 per 100,000 person-years, compared to 48 with standard mammograms, UCSF researchers said.

  • On Dec. 12, researchers reported in JAMA that tailoring breast cancer screening to individual risk detected cancers earlier and reduced diagnoses of advanced disease.
  • Risk assessment guided screening schedules using age, genetics, lifestyle, health history and breast density, with University of California-San Francisco researchers categorizing women into personalized screening categories.
  • The trial enrolled more than 14,000 women , with risk categories of 26%, 8%, and 2%, and advanced cancer rates of about 30 versus 48 per 100,000 person-years.
  • Researchers are now enrolling participants for a follow-up trial to better identify high-risk women, while Dr. Laura Esserman said the findings should transform guidelines and the ACR urged caution.
  • The trial also offered genetic testing to all participants, flagging hereditary risks that about 30% of positives lacked a reported family history, with recruitment from September 2016–February 2023 and follow-up through September 2025 using person-years.
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Risk-Based Breast Cancer Screening Outperforms Annual Mammograms, Clinical Trial Finds

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Marietta Daily Journal broke the news in Georgia, United States on Tuesday, December 16, 2025.
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