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The Latest Quaest Research on Lula X Flávio Bolsonaro Before the 1st Turn

Summary by CartaCapital
The most recent round indicated the president's leadership in the first round and tie in the second.

6 Articles

Lean Right

Five days after the election, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), candidate for re-election, has 30% of the voting intentions in the state of São Paulo, the largest electoral college in the country, against 36% of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), points out Quaest research released on Tuesday night (29). The picture changed little in relation to the previous survey of the same institute, released a week ago, when the petist had 31% of the votes agai…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Left

The most recent round indicated the president's leadership in the first round and tie in the second.

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) leads the presidential race among the voters of the State of São Paulo, with 36% of the voting intentions, according to Quaest poll released on Tuesday (29). Lula (PT) appears in second, with 30%. The difference is 6 percentage points. The survey heard 1,800 voters between 25 and 28 September, with margin of error of 2 points. Government of SP: Tarcisio maintains leadership In the dispute for the government of São Paulo, Ta…

In any 2nd turn, Lula marks 61%, against 24% of the PL candidate, says Quaest. Margin of error is three percentage points

Quaest released, on Tuesday (29/9), an intention-to-vote poll for president among voters from Minas Gerais. In the scenario of possible second round, Lula (PT) has 41% – it was 40% on September 23rd, in the last round – and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) is 40% (the same percentage of the previous survey).Lula appears ahead in the scenario of the first round researched by Quaest.Read the full story at Metrópoles.com.

·Brasília, Brazil
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Survey released on Tuesday (29) heard 1,302 voters from the state of Rio de Janeiro between 25 and 28 September; margin of error is three percentage points, for more or less

·São Paulo, Brazil
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  • 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources lean Right
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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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