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Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro Locked in Tight Race as Vote Nears

  • On Tuesday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva statistically tied in a simulated runoff, with Bolsonaro at 47.7% and Lula at 47.6%.
  • In a first-round scenario, the poll indicates Lula would receive 45.3% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro at 42.2%, Renan Santos with 5.2%, and Augusto Cury with 2%.
  • A September 23 poll had Lula leading the senator 47.7% to 47.4%, while earlier data showed Lula at 45.8% and Bolsonaro at 43.4% in the first round.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 election, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff on October 25.
  • Lula continues his reelection campaign for the Workers' Party, speaking during a rally in Belem, Brazil, on Monday.
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Lean Right

Brazil celebrates the first round of the presidential elections this Sunday. Lula seeks a fourth term at age 80 while Bolsonaro presents himself as heir to a former president convicted of beating. More information: Lula bans sports betting and online casinos nine days after the elections in Brazil: "They are like cancer"

·Spain
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Right

Datafolha records 48% for Lula and 45% for Flavio Bolsonaro in a second round scenario

·Marousi, Greece
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Lean Left

A candidate for his re-election on Sunday, October 4, the 80-year-old former metalworker is in collusion in the polls with his far-right rival. All in spite of a successful overall mandate and an economy that is doing well.

·Paris, France
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  • 35% of the sources are Center
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SpaceMoney broke the news on Monday, September 28, 2026.
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