Perhaps my piece of political punditry that has aged best is the set of reasons I gave in early 2017 as to why Theresa May would not call an early election. The reasoning has aged brilliantly in all but one respect. I was wrong. So it may be foolish of me to venture into further early election speculation just ahead of a new Prime Minister taking office. But I am struck both by the historical record on early elections and also by how rarely it i…
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