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Polar Vortex, Much Colder Temperatures On The Way After Thanksgiving

A weakening polar vortex could cause a sharp temperature drop and increased snow chances after Thanksgiving, with over 30% likelihood of below-normal temperatures in Illinois.

  • On Nov. 24, the forecast shows a polar vortex disruption may weaken, bringing colder, possibly snowier weather to the United States and a colder start to December in the Chicago area.
  • Zonal winds aloft are declining toward 0 m/s, potentially triggering SSW that weakens the vortex, with Dr. Furtado noting `With North America, we have a weak La Nina and other patterns in the Pacific that have a direct influence on the weather as well.`
  • The National Weather Service in Duluth ran 30 models that showed moderate-to-high confidence in a cold front bringing temperatures from near 50 to the 30s for Thanksgiving weekend.
  • AccuWeather warns dangerous wind gusts could disrupt Thanksgiving parades and increase heavy snow risk along the Great Lakes.
  • Forecasters caution the timing is unusually early with few past analogs, as NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favors below-average U.S. temperatures from Nov. 29-Dec. 12.
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WBUR broke the news in Boston, United States on Friday, November 21, 2025.
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