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Reserve Bank Holds OCR at 2.75% in Split Decision

The split vote came as the central bank warned inflation could reach 4.4% and left open the possibility of another increase later this year.

  • On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank Monetary Policy Committee voted 4-3 to hold the official cash rate at 2.75%, defying overwhelming market expectations for a rate hike.
  • Governor Anna Breman sided with three external members to hold the rate, while three internal RBNZ officials voted to raise it amid diverging views on global downside risks.
  • The New Zealand dollar plunged nearly a cent against the U.S. dollar after the announcement, while the central bank aims to return inflation to 2% amid temporary disturbances.
  • Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid noted the decision contrasted sharply with market pricing, where a hike had been more than 90% expected before the meeting.
  • Policymakers signaled additional tightening may still be required to return inflation to 2%, with financial markets placing a 75 percent chance on a rate rise in December.
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FXStreet broke the news on Tuesday, October 27, 2026.
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