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Nomura joins global brokerages in forecasting Fed rate cut this week

Nomura joins peers in anticipating a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut amid dovish signals and mixed U.S. economic data, with markets pricing an 87% probability, CME FedWatch shows.

  • On December 8, 2025, Nomura joined major banks in forecasting a quarter-point cut at this week's Fed meeting, reversing an earlier hold view as traders priced a high probability.
  • After dovish comments from Fed officials, including John Williams, New York Fed President and FOMC Vice Chair, and Mary Daly, San Francisco Fed President, softer November U.S. economic data and weakening consumer confidence eroded the case for holding rates.
  • A Reuters poll of 108 analysts found only 19 expecting no change, while Morgan Stanley reversed December calls, and the shutdown-driven data gap left traders a quiet runway.
  • Stocks held steady while longer-dated Treasuries faced pressure and analysts such as Nabil Milali warned the Federal Open Market Committee meeting could see multiple dissents affecting the dollar and yields.
  • With central banks in Europe and Switzerland set to act, Nomura projects further 25-basis-point cuts in 2026 as the SNB, BoE, and ECB monitor the Fed closely.
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72% Center

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thedailyupside.com broke the news in on Monday, December 8, 2025.
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