NOAA's 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Predicts a Below-Average Number of Storms
Forecasters say a developing El Niño gives the Atlantic basin a 55% chance of a below-normal season.
- On Thursday, May 21, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will issue the official 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast at an 11 a.m. ET news conference at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center in Lakeland, Florida.
- Forecasters are analyzing a confounding mixture of warming ocean temperatures, which can fuel hurricane activity, and a brewing El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic storm formation.
- "Typically, El Niño leads to more rising air over the tropical Pacific, which then leads to stronger upper-level wind shear and sinking air across the tropical Atlantic," said associate scientist Andy Hazelton of the University of Miami.
- Colorado State experts predict a below-average Atlantic season with six hurricanes total, though a typical year averages about 14 tropical storms and seven hurricanes.
- NOAA will also announce anticipated activity for the central and eastern Pacific hurricane seasons, while the official Atlantic season begins June 1 and ends November 30.
133 Articles
133 Articles
Atlantic expected to see below-average hurricane activity this season, NOAA says
Hurricane activity in the Atlantic is expected to remain below normal levels in 2026, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said. The agency predicts 8-14 'named storms,' which have winds of at least 39 mph.
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GOOD: NEWS: NOAA predicts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane se...
Early preparation essential to staying safe all season Forecasters with NOAA’s National Weather Service are predicting a below-normal hurricane season for the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the… The post GOOD: NEWS: NOAA predicts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season appeared first on Watts Up With That?.
NOAA predicts below-normal hurricane season amid building El Niño
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) on Thursday predicted that the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season could be below normal as El Niño intensifies amid its development. NOAA's outlook predicts a 55 percent chance of a below-normal season, with between eight and 14 named storms likely to develop. Between three and six of those storms...
NOAA predicts below-normal Atlantic hurricane season
NOAA is predicting a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season this year, with forecasters calling for 8 to 14 named storms as El Niño is expected to suppress storm development across the basin. The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. NOAA’s outlook, released Thursday, gives a 55% chance of a below-normal season, a 35% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of an above-normal season. Forecasters expect 8 to 14 n…
NOAA predicts below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season
The 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season is just around the corner, running June 1st through Nov. 30, and NOAA is forecasting a below-normal season this year.The agency says there is a 55% chance of a below-normal season, a 35% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of an above average season.NOAA Predicts 8 to 14 named storms in the Atlantic basin this season. Of those, 3 to 6 could become hurricanes, and 1 to 3 could reach major hurricane …
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