Nicola Willis, Chris Bishop among top ministers who could lose their seats as election overhang possible

Hanging in the balance: Hutt South, Mt Albert and a potential overhang

A poll of polls projects an overhang that could cost Nicola Willis, Chris Bishop, Paul Goldsmith and Gerry Brownlee their seats, but Winston Peters declines to go all-in on vote-splitting.

Nicola Willis, Chris Bishop among top ministers who could lose their seats as election overhang possible

New Zealand’s electoral system has usually guaranteed jobs for high-ranking list MPs in the big parties. That may no longer be the case.

TDB told you National would by guttered by their overhang – how Helen Clark could save Labour in Mt Albert

I love how long it has taken the mainstream media to catch up with the Overhang argument TDB has been...

"Two Ticks Blue" could cost the right: Analysis warns of a National overhang trap in the 2026 Election

Centre-right voters could unintentionally waste their votes on 7 November, according to a number of political commentators. The warning rests on a rare MMP quirk that the 2026 polls have exposed: a possible large overhang for a major party. Across all six major pollsters, National has polled between 27 and 32 percent in every poll […]