Next Flashpoint In Iran War? The Bab Al-Mandab Strait Off Yemen's Coast
Huthi rebels control much of Yemen’s Red Sea coast and could disrupt 12% of global seaborne trade through Bab al-Mandab, a vital link to the Suez Canal and Indian Ocean.
- On March 15, reports said Houthi rebels were demanding payments from tankers transiting the Bab al-Mandab Strait, whose Yemeni coastline they largely control.
- Although Iran backs the Huthis, Abdul Malik al-Huthi said on March 5 they are ready to strike but have not formally joined the Iran war, remaining autonomous despite Iranian backing.
- Analysts including Gregory Brew said 'The Huthis' threat here is a real one' and 'This is very important for oil markets because it relieves pressure from the total shutting of the Persian Gulf'.
- If the passage closes, another 6mn barrels per day of Saudi oil exports would be halted and at least 25mn b/d could be removed, deepening the 2026 oil shock.
- Iran-Linked Fars warned that Huthi involvement could close Bab al-Mandab, and analysts note Tehran appears to manage escalation by keeping the Huthis in reserve, despite US and Israeli strikes degrading their capabilities.
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At the Red Sea there is still tension, but the Houthi militia threatens to attack oil tankers. It should wait for a suitable time, says Yemen expert Marieke Brandt. The Shiite militia is allied with the Iranians, but acts independently.
Which straits will close next?
The International Energy markets are in chaos following the closure of Hormuz, however reports have emerged that houthi rebels in Yemen are demanding bribes from tankers passing through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the bottom of the Red Sea.
Oil prices in for more shock - what could happen if the Houthis of Yemen close the Bab al-Mandeb Strait?
Oil prices in for more shock — what happens if Yemens Houthis close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? The Bab el-Mandeb Strait sits between Yemen, Djibouti, and Eritrea, linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. It is one of the worlds most strategic maritime chokepoints. Around 8.8 million barrels of oil per day and massive global cargo shipments pass through this narrow route. That equals nearly 10–12% of global seaborne oil trade. Now the Yemen Houthi…
After the blockade of the Strait of Hormus, the focus is on the Strait of Bab Al-Mandab. A blockade would have disastrous consequences.
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