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New Zealand hikes rates for first time since 2023

The unanimous move is the first hike since May 2023, with policymakers saying more tightening is likely as inflation stays above target.

  • On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the official cash rate to 2.5 per cent from 2.25 per cent, marking the central bank's first rate increase since May 2023.
  • Headline inflation reached 3.1 per cent in March, exceeding the RBNZ's 1 per cent to 3 per cent target range, while New Zealand's gross domestic product has been strengthening in 2026 after contracting 1.1 per cent in the prior year.
  • Although unemployment remains relatively high at 5.3 per cent, Governor Anna Breman said the fall in oil prices and an official cash rate still in stimulatory territory would support growth acceleration through the second half of the year.
  • The RBNZ committee agreed further stimulus reductions are likely, though timing remains uncertain, as ANZ New Zealand chief economist Sharon Zollner noted the bank's forward guidance remains relatively vague.
  • Capital Economics senior Asia economist Abhijit Surya projects the RBNZ will gradually raise rates to a peak of 3.25 per cent next year, with "roughly every other meeting" seeing increases going forward.
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NZ notches first rate hike since 2023 with more to come

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The West Australian broke the news in Australia on Wednesday, July 8, 2026.
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