US EditionNew Texas poll finds Talarico leading Crockett by 9 points in Senate Democratic primary
- Earlier this week, an Emerson College/Nexstar survey found state Rep. James Talarico leading U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett by nine points, 47% to 38%, among likely Democratic primary voters with 15% undecided ahead of the March 3 primary.
- About a month after a Texas Southern University survey, Spencer Kimball noted `Talarico has built momentum among Hispanic and white voters, while a majority of Black Democratic primary voters support Crockett`.
- The survey was conducted Jan. 10-12, 2026, with an overall sample of n=1,165 and a Democratic primary sample of n=413 , using MMS-to-web texts and an online panel matched to the Aristotle voter file.
- If no candidate tops 50%, the top two advance to a May 26 runoff, with Ken Paxton leading at 27%, John Cornyn at 26%, and Wesley Hunt at 16%. The poll suggests Ken Paxton is tied with either Democrat at 46% to 46% in hypothetical matchups.
- With nearly $7 million raised in Q4 2025, James Talarico, state representative , leads amid top issues: economy , threats to democracy , immigration , and 83% likely to vote in Texas, which hasn't elected a Democrat statewide in over 30 years.
22 Articles
22 Articles
'We're going to keep campaigning as the underdog': Candidates react to new Senate poll
James Talarico has opened up a 9% lead over Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in Texas, while Greg Abbott has an 8% lead over Gina Hinojosa in the race for the Governor's mansion.
Jasmine Crockett's Senate Hopes Crash And Burn As Party Ditches Her For Well-Spoken Democrat
Democratic Texas state Rep. James Talarico has opened up a clear lead over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Lone Star State’s Democratic Senate primary, according to new polling released Thursday. The Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey shows Talarico ahead by nine points among likely Democratic primary voters, 47 percent to Crockett’s 38 percent. Another 15 percent remain undecided. The two Democrats are vying for the chance to take o…
Texas Poll Shows Tough Primary for Cornyn and Crockett
A new poll on the Texas Senate primaries reveals incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, is facing tough Republican competition, and Democrat Rep. Jasmine Crockett’s path to a nomination will not be easy, either. The Senate race, which pits recognized Washington politicians against Austin-based rivals, could determine the ideological direction of both political parties. A Tight Republican Race Cornyn, who has represented the Lone Star State in the …
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