New Poll Shows Neck-and-Neck Senate Race, Double-Digit Lead for Governor in SC Midterms
Democrats hold a 10-point generic-ballot edge among registered voters, but enthusiasm gaps and doubts about winning could limit gains.
- CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said Sunday that recent data indicates a 71% chance of a House 'blowout' favoring Democrats, defined as a party securing at least 230 seats.
- President Donald Trump's net approval rating has declined to minus 35 points in Reuters-Ipsos polling, down from minus 24 in July, driving these Democratic projections.
- In the United States Senate, Enten projects a 57% chance that Democrats will secure at least 52 seats for a majority with room to spare, while Republicans have a 24% chance of winning 51 seats.
- Overall, there is an 81% probability that one party will emerge from Senate elections with a decisive majority, while Democrats need to net four seats across both chambers to flip control of Congress.
- As midterm elections approach next week, Enten cautioned that congressional polling has historically underestimated Republican support in 15 of 16 cycles since 1994, introducing uncertainty into projections.
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63 Articles
What a blue wave, or red undertow, would mean – The Apalachicola TimesFacebookTwitterAccountSearchExpandExpandExpandExpandExpandAccountToggle MenuPreviousContinueContinueContinueContinueContinueContinueClick here to call usClick here to message usToggle Menu CloseExpandExpandExpandExpandExpandSearch
We have about a week to go. It’s likely that the Democrats, favorites to take charge of the planet’s most exclusive, taxpayer-funded, nursing home, the U.S. Senate. Odds are 62% that the do-nothing Dems will win both houses. The Dems, with their Democratic Socialists of America ball and chain, might inherit Congress the way a...
The Democrats need 1.5 million more votes for a majority in the House of Representatives in the upcoming US elections than in 2024, according to an analysis by the University of Groningen (RUG). This is due to a redrawing of electoral districts.
Prediction Markets Favor Democratic Congress Sweep
“The 2026 U.S. midterm election will be held a week from Tuesday, with the Republican Party looking to defend majorities in both the House and Senate, though Democrats are seen as two-to-one favorites to flip both chambers blue on prediction markets,” CNBC reports. “Speculators on platform Kalshi place a 63% chance that Democrats win control […]
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Bias Distribution
- 36% of the sources lean Right
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