US EditionNew poll presents test for Coalition leader Angus Taylor
One Nation’s rise to 23% matches the Coalition’s primary vote amid a major-party support collapse and 92% voter concern over cost of living, Resolve poll shows.
- In the first published poll after the leadership change, Resolve Political Monitor found One Nation's primary vote rose to 23 per cent, matching the Coalition's 23 per cent on February 15, 2026.
- With major-party support collapsing, the Coalition slides from 28 per cent in January as One Nation surges, while cost of living affects 92 per cent and ranks top concern for 45 per cent.
- Resolve's poll shows 52 per cent of respondents are unsure or have no preference, with a margin of error ±2.3 per cent and 1,800 respondents surveyed.
- Party figures acknowledged on Sunday they must urgently claw back support, with Taylor securing a plus 3 percentage point likeability rating, compared to Albanese's minus 12 and Ley's minus 11, and 61 per cent of respondents had heard of Taylor.
- Pollster Jim Read warned only seat-by-seat two-candidate preferred counts could reveal One Nation gains, saying `minor party` is no longer a useful label given its rapid rise.
12 Articles
12 Articles
The Coalition leads in Victorian DemosAU poll, with One Nation posting 21% support
One Nation is just two points behind Labor in a Victorian state DemosAU poll, with the election in November. A federal Resolve poll has One Nation and the Coalition tied at 23% each with Labor well ahead. The Victorian state election is in late November. A DemosAU and Premier National poll, conducted February 1–10 from a sample of 1,274, gave the Coalition 29% of the primary vote (down eight since an October DemosAU poll), Labor 23% (down three)…
Sydney Morning Herald
The AgeOne Nation draws level with Coalition as voters give their first take on Taylor
Support for One Nation has surged to 23 per cent of the primary vote – although voters appear willing to give Taylor an opportunity to turn things around.
‘Wildcard’ One Nation Eyes Seats as Surge Hits State
The spectre of One Nation is looming large over an upcoming election, with support surging for the right-wing populist party at state level. A Victorian state poll of 1,274 voters, conducted by DemosAU/PremierNational from Feb. 1 to 10, put One Nation’s primary vote at 21 percent. The result isn’t quite as strong as the 26 percent watermark indicated in recent national polling. But it represents a 20.7 percent swing from the 2022 Victorian elect…
The latest Resolve poll shows that One Nation's support among voters continues to surge, reaching a tie with the Coalition for the first time. This indicates that the battle for conservative votes in Australia will be exceptionally fierce, highlighting the enormous challenges facing the new Liberal Party leader, Angus Taylor.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
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