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Democrats seek to flip Nevada governor’s seat in a key test for the party’s chances in 2028

The race could hinge on affordability and turnout, with nearly 40% of voters unaffiliated and late mail ballots allowed for four days.

  • On Tuesday, Nevada voters decide whether to give Republican Governor Joe Lombardo another four years or hand control to Democrat Aaron Ford in a race polling indicates remains too close to call.
  • Lombardo has retained support beyond the Republican base, positioning himself as a unique candidate despite broader Democratic trends. Noble Predictive Insights CEO Mike Noble noted the governor's ability to maintain a competitive race.
  • Ford leads among early voters by 13 points, while Lombardo maintains a 12-point advantage among those yet to vote. Regional turnout patterns explain the race's competitiveness.
  • While Democrats lead other statewide races, Lombardo has weathered the polling drag associated with Democratic momentum. His job approval rating remains a key factor in his resilience.
  • The final outcome hinges on whether Lombardo's cross-party appeal can overcome the turnout advantage Ford built during early voting. Nevada allows mail ballots postmarked on Election Day to arrive up to four days later.
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Center

Nevada gubernatorial race neck-and-neck ahead of election

(The Center Square) – As Silver State residents head to the polls, it appears that the race for Nevada’s top office will come down to the wire.

·Chariton, United States
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thedailybs.com broke the news on Monday, November 2, 2026.
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