Climate change made deadly Nepal glacier and rock collapse more likely, according to analysis
Researchers said warming, glacier loss and a 2015 earthquake weakened the slope before the collapse, which killed at least 1,300 people.
- On Thursday, World Weather Attribution released a report linking the August 26 rock-ice avalanche in Nepal to human-induced climate change, identifying multiple destabilizing factors rather than a single extreme weather event.
- Rising temperatures pushed the freezing threshold upward by roughly 100 meters per decade in the Himalayas, thawing permafrost and weakening rock strength while accelerating glacier retreat.
- The August 26 disaster killed at least 1,300 people and left more than 5,000 missing, while a 2015 7.8 magnitude earthquake may have preconditioned the slope for collapse.
- Imperial College London climate scientist Friederike Otto said, "There is absolutely no doubt that human-induced climate change played a role," noting such events exceed current early warning capabilities.
- Unless the world rapidly cuts fossil fuel pollution, "we will inevitably see more disasters of this scale," Otto warned, as infrastructure concentrated in narrow river valleys remains highly vulnerable.
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Incident may have been preconditioned by 2015 earthquake, while warming, permafrost degradation, glacier thinning and retreat, increased rainfall, unusually warm conditions likely contributed, says World Weather Attribution
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Climate change was a core factor in last month's deadly glacial mountain collapse on the China-Nepal border that killed more than 1,400 people and left at least 6,600 missing, scientists said Thursday.
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