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Moody’s Raises India FY27 Growth Forecast to 7% From 6% on Resilient Economy, Stronger Investment

Moody’s said private consumption, infrastructure spending and a revival in investment are supporting the stronger outlook.

  • On Friday, Moody's Ratings raised India's real GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2026-27 to 7% from 6%, citing the economy's resilience to the Middle East conflict and strong domestic demand.
  • Strong private consumption, robust gross fixed capital formation, and public infrastructure spending drove the upgrade. India withstood external shocks better than previously anticipated, prompting the revision.
  • Moody's 7% forecast is 0.6 percentage point above the International Monetary Fund's projection and 0.4 percentage point higher than S&P Global Ratings and Reserve Bank of India estimates.
  • Retaining India's Baa3 long-term issuer ratings with a stable outlook, Moody's expects fiscal consolidation to continue gradually, supported by improving tax administration and nominal GDP growth.
  • Elevated global energy prices and El Niño-related food pressures could push inflation above the 4.8% projection for FY27, while rising defense and infrastructure spending may constrain fiscal consolidation.
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Moody's raises India fiscal 2027 GDP growth forecast to 7% on Middle ...

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WTVB broke the news on Thursday, September 17, 2026.
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