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Minnesota becomes first state to ban prediction markets

The measure targets Kalshi and Polymarket and makes hosting or advertising prediction markets a felony, with a federal lawsuit already filed.

  • Minnesota became the first state to ban online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, making it a felony to operate, advertise, or assist access to such platforms starting August 1.
  • The law also bans tools such as VPNs that help users evade the ban and includes an expected exception for weather-related contracts used by farmers to hedge crop risks.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued to block Minnesota's law, claiming exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets and stating that the state's move is illegal and harmful.
  • Similar legislation has been introduced in several other states, with ongoing conflicts between federal and state authorities over regulation of prediction markets.
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