UK risks more extreme, prolonged heatwaves in future: Met Office
UNITED KINGDOM, JUN 18 – The Met Office forecasts a 50% chance of 40C temperatures within 12 years and warns heatwaves lasting a month could increase health risks for vulnerable populations.
- The Met Office has warned that the UK risks more extreme, prolonged heatwaves in the future, with temperatures potentially reaching 45C or more.
- The analysis found that the chance of exceeding 40C temperatures is now over 20 times more likely than in the 1960s, and the UK has a 50:50 chance of experiencing another 40C day in the next 12 years.
- The study also projected that up to two-thirds of summer days could reach the heatwave threshold of 28C in southeast England, potentially leading to over a month of continuous heatwaves and 12 consecutive days above 35C.
32 Articles
32 Articles
UK temperatures capable of reaching 45C in current climate, Met Office says
Temperatures of 45C are possible in the United Kingdom in the current climate, the Met Office has warned. This week, the country is experiencing a heatwave with the mercury rising above 30C in large parts of the south of England. As a result, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has issued heat health warnings for the entire country, in effect until Monday morning. But the Met Office has warned that in the current climate, it is not out of the …
Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends
Over the last 70 years, extreme heat has been increasing at a disproportionate rate in Western Europe, compared to climate model simulations. This mismatch is not well understood. Here, we show that a substantial fraction (0.8 °C [0.2°−1.4 °C] of 3.4 °C per global warming degree) of the heat extremes trend is induced by atmospheric circulation changes, through more frequent southerly flows over Western Europe. In the 170 available simulations fr…
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