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Market Under Inflation Estimate for 2026, Points to Focus

Summary by Revista Oeste
Financial market analysts consulted by the Central Bank (BC) increased the inflation estimate to 2026. This is what shows the most recent edition of the Focus Report, released on Monday, 21. According to the report, the Broad Consumer Price Index (HICP), which measures the country's official inflation, should end this year by 4.92%, before 4.9% of the previous week. According to the National Monetary Council (NCC), the inflation target for 2026 …

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The median of the market economists' projections for Brazilian official inflation in 2026 rose from 4.90% to 4.92%, according to the Focus report of the Central Bank (BC), released on Monday (21) with estimates collected until Friday (18). By 2027, the median of expectations for the National Broad Consumer Price Index (HICP) remained at 4.30%, and by 2028 continued at 3.80%. The 12-month HICP fell from 4.65% to 4.62%. Selic For the basic interes…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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The financial market has reduced from 13.75% to 13.50% the expectation for the basic interest rate Selic at the end of 2026. The projection, presented by the Bulletin Focus released on Monday (21) by the Central Bank, indicates that the market works with the expectation of a new interest cut still in the current year. The revision down takes place five days after the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) has reduced by 0.25 percentage point to Selic…

·Quadra, Brazil
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The median of the Focus report for the 2026 Broad Consumer Price Index (HICP) rose from 4.90% to 4.92%, interrupting a sequence of

Financial market analysts consulted by the Central Bank (BC) increased the inflation estimate to 2026. This is what shows the most recent edition of the Focus Report, released on Monday, 21. According to the report, the Broad Consumer Price Index (HICP), which measures the country's official inflation, should end this year by 4.92%, before 4.9% of the previous week. According to the National Monetary Council (NCC), the inflation target for 2026 …

The economists heard by the Central Bank (BC) reduced expectations for Selic and increased inflation in 2026, showed the Focus Report released on Monday (21). The median market dropped from 13.75% to 13.50% per year, interrupting the stability observed in the previous survey and indicating expectations of slightly lower interest rates in [...]

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Globo broke the news in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on Monday, September 21, 2026.
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