Many states deciding control of the Senate are seeing a big boost in early voting, AP analysis shows
- CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said Sunday that recent data indicates a 71% chance of a House 'blowout' favoring Democrats, defined as a party securing at least 230 seats.
- President Donald Trump's net approval rating has declined to minus 35 points in Reuters-Ipsos polling, down from minus 24 in July, driving these Democratic projections.
- In the United States Senate, Enten projects a 57% chance that Democrats will secure at least 52 seats for a majority with room to spare, while Republicans have a 24% chance of winning 51 seats.
- Overall, there is an 81% probability that one party will emerge from Senate elections with a decisive majority, while Democrats need to net four seats across both chambers to flip control of Congress.
- As midterm elections approach next week, Enten cautioned that congressional polling has historically underestimated Republican support in 15 of 16 cycles since 1994, introducing uncertainty into projections.
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551 Articles
Dayton Daily News
Early voting jumps across Senate battlegrounds as millions more Americans vote ahead of Election Day
Early voting is surging ahead of Tuesday’s midterm elections, particularly in states with competitive Senate races. An Associated Press analysis shows more than 43 million Americans have already cast ballots, nearly 10 million more than at the same point in 2022. Texas has seen a 50% increase, with 6.3 million early votes cast. Maine, Michigan, North Carolina and Kansas have also recorded increases of more than 30%. The data offers a glimpse of …
Democratic enthusiasm seen among less-frequent voters in key states of Texas and Georgia, analysis shows - Regional Media News
With less than a week to the midterms elections, an ABC News analysis of the early vote in the key states of Texas and Georgia shows signs of more enthusiasm among Democrats, who are getting slightly higher turnout among those who don't vote regularly
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