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Lula’s Lead over Bolsonaro Narrows Ahead of Brazil Vote, CNT/MDA Poll Shows

The CNT/MDA survey of 2,007 voters showed Lula at 43.1% and Bolsonaro at 38%, with a runoff likely if neither tops 50% of valid votes.

  • On Saturday, a CNT/MDA poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 43.1% to 38% ahead of Sunday's first-round vote.
  • A September 15 poll previously showed Lula at 40.5% and Bolsonaro at 30.4%, demonstrating Lula's lead widened as the election approached.
  • When considering only projected valid votes, Lula reached 47.8% support against Bolsonaro's 42.1%, according to an MDA survey of 2,007 people with a 2.2 percentage point margin of error.
  • If no candidate exceeds more than 50% of valid votes on Sunday, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25, where Lula would receive 47.3% support.
  • Bolsonaro greeted supporters at a campaign rally in Santa Barbara do Oeste on October 3, one day before the general election, as the Liberal Party candidate seeks to narrow the gap.
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93 Articles

Lean Right

The current President of Brazil, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, is ahead of his main rival, Senator Flaviu Bolsonar, and is evidenced by the results of a poll by Datafolha, published prior to the first round of the presidential election.

Lean Right

According to the CNT/MDA poll, the current president of Brazil would obtain 43.1% of the votes, while his rival, Senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would reach 38% of the preferences in the first round.

·Las Condes, Chile
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Lean Right

A single percentage point separates the two candidates in one of the polls and in another the difference becomes just two tenths. Thus Brazil arrives at the polls this Sunday, in a presidential election that no one dares to take for granted. According to three new polls spread by Bloomberg, the president ... Continue reading "Brazil votes this Sunday: Lula and Bolsonaro arrive separated by just one point in the polls"

·Concepción, Chile
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Center

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Zeit OnlineZeit Online
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Lean Left

According to polls in the first ballot, none of the candidates will reach the necessary majority. Sunday's election takes place under concerns about foreign influences.

·Germany
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Bias Distribution

  • 43% of the sources lean Right
43% Right

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Poder360 broke the news on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
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