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Flavio Bolsonaro’s Lead over Lula Narrows Ahead of Brazil Runoff, Datafolha Poll Shows

  • Flavio Bolsonaro leads Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva 47% to 45% in a Datafolha poll before Brazil’s October 25 runoff.
  • The result is a technical tie because the poll’s margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.
  • Datafolha surveyed 2,520 people on October 13–14; 6% planned blank votes and 2% were undecided.
  • Among valid votes, Bolsonaro led Lula 51% to 49%.
Insights by Ground AI

39 Articles

Right

Datafolha poll shows technical tie – The crucial presidential race will be held on October 25th

·Marousi, Greece
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Lean Right

The gap between Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro is narrowing ahead of the second round of the presidential election in Brazil, according to a new Datafolha poll. Brazil's center-left President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has narrowed his lead over conservative senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the second round of the presidential election, which will be held on October 25, according to a Datafolha poll released Thursday. Lula at 49%, Bolsonaro at 51%. S…

Lean Left

The ultra-right senator achieves 51% compared to 49% of the president, according to the Datafolha poll for the second round of the day 25

·Madrid, Spain
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  • 67% of the sources lean Right
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Metrópoles broke the news on Thursday, October 15, 2026.
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