Data Sheet: Flávio Bolsonaro (51%) and Lula (49%) Draw - 15/10/2026
23 Articles
23 Articles
Ten days after the second presidential round in Brazil, the difference between the two candidates narrowed from four to two percentage points.
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 47% of the voting intentions against 45% of the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), according to research Datafolha released on Thursday (15). The result considers total votes and leaves candidates in a position of technical tie. The indecisives add up to 2% and 6% declared intention to cancel or vote in blank. It is the second research carried out by the institute for the second round. In the previous sur…
Distance in this question, which excludes whites, null and undecided, was four points last week
According to the survey published on Thursday 15, the PL senator adds 51% of the valid votes against 49% of the petist; both are within the margin of error
The Datafolha survey places Bolsonaro with 51% of the valid votes compared to 49% of Lula, a difference within the margin of error of two points, ten days after the second round.
Senator oscillated down in relation to the poll released the previous week, when he appeared with 52% of the valid votes, before 48% of the president
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
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