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Brazil: Lula Expands Advantage over Bolsonaro in First Round Polls; There Would Be Technical Tie in a Ballooning

Summary by France24
Six days after the elections in Brazil, two polls show the current President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva five points ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round. However, the difference narrows and falls within the margin of error before a possible second round.

6 Articles

Lean Right

Although the poll showed that 49 percent of voters disapprove of Lula's government, at least 39 percent confirmed their intention to vote for him.

·Mexico
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Far Left

Six days after the elections, a recent poll grants 39% of Lula’s intention to vote to five points in his opponent

·Caracas, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
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El Mundo CREl Mundo CR
Center

Six days after the elections in Brazil, two polls show the current President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva five points ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round. However, the difference narrows and falls within the margin of error before a possible second round.

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Electoral behavior specialist Antonio Lavareda analyzed the latest polls in Brazil and warned that abstention could modify Lula’s advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro. Read more

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Datasheet, Atlas, Quaest and Real Time show Lula ahead in the 1st round, but 2nd round continues in technical tie one week from election

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Bias Distribution

  • 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
34% Left

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SpaceMoney broke the news on Monday, September 28, 2026.
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