Le Pen and Melenchon Ahead in 2027 French Presidential Race, Poll Shows
The pollster says she would beat every tested rival in a runoff, while Polymarket prices her at 45.4% to win the presidency.
- A new poll released Monday, November 9, 2026, by Toluna Harris Interactive shows Marine Le Pen leading France's 2027 first round with 34–36% of the vote. She also wins every runoff scenario tested.
- Waning popularity for President Emmanuel Macron and a hollowed-out political center have left the nation vulnerable. These economic and political weaknesses have created a significant opening for hardline parties to surge.
- Jean-Luc Melenchon trails in second place with 18–19% support in the November 3–5 survey of 2,101 registered voters. Le Pen would defeat him 68% to 32% in a hypothetical runoff, according to the findings.
- As of 10:57 a.m. today, the prediction platform Polymarket priced Le Pen at 45.4% to win the presidency, with US$169 million traded on the platform.
- The next polling wave, planned for November 17–19, will track momentum between Melenchon and potential rival Philippe. Analysts will watch to see if the current polling gap between the candidates widens or remains steady.
77 Articles
77 Articles
A leading duo that detachs itself for an increasingly inevitable duel? This is the confirmation of the latest barometer Toluna Harris Interactive for M6 and RTL, published... The Presidential article 2027: Le Pen et Mélenchon dig the gap, Philippe picks up, Lisnard continues to progress, according to a poll appeared first on Current Values.
Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélechon continue to lead the way in voting intentions, and the leader of the extreme right is far ahead of the radical left leader, followed by Édouard Philippe and Raphaël Glucksmann, who are losing ground, according to a poll conducted by Harris Interactive for M6/RTL, published on Monday, reports AFP.
According to data from a Harris Interactive poll published this Monday by M6 television and RTL, the leader of the National Group of...
France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen has consolidated her lead in next year’s presidential election, according to a poll released today. Le Pen is leading the first round of the election with a voter turnout of 34% to 36%, according to scenarios examined by Toluna Harris in a poll conducted from November 3 to 5. A similar poll last month gave her a voter turnout of 35% to 37%.
Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon retain the top two positions ahead of the 2027 French presidential election. Le Pen leads in all scenarios tested for the first round with between 34% and 36% of voting intentions, while Mélenchon is second with between 18% and 19%, according to the latest Toluna-Harris Interactive survey. The poll was conducted online between 3 and 5 November among 2,101 registered voters. The data was collected from a large…
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 39% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
