J.P.Morgan raises odds of US recession by year end to 35%

J.P.Morgan raises odds of US recession by year end to 35%

JPMorgan sees a greater chance of a US recession this year

JPMorgan Chase analysts now see a greater chance that the U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of the year.In a Wednesday analyst note, JPMorgan economists led by Bruce Kasman raised the odds of an economic downturn this year to 35%, up from their previous 25% estimate, citing easing labor market pressures. "U.S. wage inflation is now slowing in a manner not seen in other DM economies," they wrote. "Easing labor market conditions incre…

JP Morgan forecasts a 35% chance of a recession in the United States by the end of the year, an increase from its previous estimate of 25%. This adjustment is due to the reduction in labor market pressures and the fall in global equities caused by the weak employment reports in July and the reversal of carry trade operations financed with yen. These operations, which consist of borrowing in low-interest currencies to invest in higher-yielding as…

The report of one of the world's largest financial consultancies gave its forecasts for the end of 2024. What will be the impact on rates.

JP Morgan increased the chances of a recession in the United States by the end of this year, citing the slowdown in the labor market in the country. In a released report, the bank began to see a 35% chance of stagnation in the world's largest economy. Previously, the projection was 25%. The change comes in the wake of the latest employment report, the payroll, which showed a slowdown in job creation and an increase in the country's unemployment …

JPMorgan revises the chances of a recession for the United States upwards by the end of the year, bringing them to 35% from the previous 25%. The revision is linked to the stronger slowdown than expected in the labor market.