3 Midterm Election Scenarios that Could Reshape Wall Street's Biggest Stock Market and Investing Bets
6 Articles
6 Articles
3 midterm election scenarios that could reshape Wall Street's biggest stock market and investing bets
The US midterm elections arrive at a precarious time for markets. We’re just days removed from the worst stock sell-off in months. Treasury yields — while down slightly from multidecade highs — are still uncomfortably high. And inflationary pressure continues to mount across the economy thanks to $100-plus oil prices. I previously broke down the […]
As the US heads to the polls for the midterm elections, Wall Street is preparing for a potential decline in stocks should Democrats regain control of both houses of Congress.
According to ChainCatcher, JPMorgan Chase analyzed four possible congressional power combinations following the US midterm elections. The highest probability (66%) is that the Democrats will win control of both the House and Senate; the probability of the Republicans retaining control is only 7%, but this corresponds to the largest expected increase for the S&P 500 among the four scenarios. In the scenario where the Democrats control both houses…
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